Fearless-Anarchy
0x314b172e72866b8eff9779f613ce5aaa7af8209b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$14.01
Total PnL
$-99.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?
12 shares @ 40.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$12.26
$7.35
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
484 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
337 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NE
Big Game: First Team To Score
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
220 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
54 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$5.00Apr 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$5.00Apr 12, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?$0.00Apr 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$5.00Mar 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$5.00Mar 12, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.14Mar 12, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.17Mar 12, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.35Mar 12, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.00Mar 12, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$3.94Mar 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.