Punctual-Fringe
0x3156948da03efef56dd8c851b0dfd887108d63a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$35.00
Total PnL
$-20.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the Tiara of Empress Eugénie be recovered by October 31?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.14
$0.14
- NO
French election called by October 31?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
French election called by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-4.75
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
29 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$2.00Jan 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 12, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$1.00Oct 27, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?$0.00Oct 25, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tiara of Empress Eugénie be recovered by October 31?$5.00Oct 22, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by October 31?$0.00Oct 22, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?$0.00Oct 21, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?$0.00Oct 21, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$5.00Oct 20, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 20, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.00Oct 20, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.00Oct 20, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 20, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple acquire Mistral by November 30?$5.00Oct 20, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$5.00Oct 20, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.