Glaring-Context
0x318f586b664c5ee960c19ba06ab3bd1cb088d375
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.66
Total PnL
$-83.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.41
$-2.59
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.25
$-2.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
1161 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?
701 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- NO
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 75000?
414 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.14
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?
296 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?
161 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
131 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?
116 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$19.04Jun 4, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$12.59Jun 4, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 13?$0.00May 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$2.43Apr 27, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$16.59Apr 25, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 75000?$12.14Apr 24, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$10.96Apr 23, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$1.00Apr 20, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 13-19?$2.00Apr 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$10.00Apr 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?$4.08Apr 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$100.00Apr 16, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?$5.00Apr 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?$1.00Apr 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$1.00Apr 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 75000?$1.00Apr 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 12, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 13?$1.00Apr 12, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.