Gracious-Dill
0x31b9c2eed0cd96137d069066aa5f4b241d4e467c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.03
Total PnL
$-143.59
Realised
$8.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.03
$-4.97
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
2295 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Sharks
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
1170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- UP
XRP Up or Down on June 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
430 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
50 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$8.24May 13, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 1?$8.65May 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 1?$8.64Apr 1, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Mar 26, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.38Feb 23, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.21Feb 14, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.42Feb 12, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland$16.67Feb 12, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland$3.00Feb 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$1.59Feb 1, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Nets$6.85Feb 1, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$3.00Feb 1, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Cavaliers$1.00Jan 24, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Nets$5.00Jan 24, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. 76ers$29.74Jan 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. 76ers$16.06Jan 20, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$3.78Jan 20, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$6.98Jan 2, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.00Jan 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.00Jan 2, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 22:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".