Frilly-Vampire
0x31d9fb2cf04501e2514067bd68ed53e978e5bc82
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.29
Total PnL
$-33.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.29
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 22?
5320 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 21?
4293 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?
2078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?
2050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 26?
1099 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 29?
1076 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?$2.1K23m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 3?$2.1K3h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$2.1K11h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 3?$2.1K22h ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?$2.1K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 2?$2.1K1d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?$2.1K1d ago
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$3.282d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?$2.1K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 30?$4.163d ago
- REWARD$0.186d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?$4.167d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?$4.1012d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$3.2518d ago
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.3024d ago
- REWARD$0.1431d ago
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$4.8533d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?$11.3533d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?$11.2939d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 13?$11.2939d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $304.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 118d ago
- Last active
- 23m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".