Pure-Employment
0x31eb4c29772efed288cdf9174ed8f8e41ed42acd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$2.81
Total PnL
$-762.13
Realised
$35.52
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
19 shares @ 26.6¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.32
$-0.68
- INDIA
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-10-10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
233 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Sky vs. New York Liberty AND Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics AND Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm AND Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo AND Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm AND New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings AND Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever AND Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries$4.99Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.87Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5 AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$28.22Jul 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5 AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$10.00Jul 15, 14:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.40Jul 14, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 AND France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5$19.99Jul 14, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$10.00Jul 14, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$9.99Jul 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.94Jul 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.27Jul 14, 03:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $13.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.