Satisfied-Cheer
0x32025f55ed5d27d4569adf72a1ec76684b64bfe3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.02Jul 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.35Jul 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.35Jul 14, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$11.45Jun 7, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$10.57Jun 7, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$3.10Jun 7, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$2.10Jun 7, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.05May 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.05May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$1.07May 15, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.01May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?$0.00May 15, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.