OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 16, 2026

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Probability

36¢

1h

+5.0pp

24h

+7.0pp

24h Vol

$1.9K

Liquidity

$39.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 7pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; +5.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 7.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 486h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 486.1h

    LOW
  • 17:52Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 7.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.

    MEDIUM
  • 17:52Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 486h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+6.5pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.

Biggest hourly move: +6.0pp at 17:52 (to 36¢).

Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:52 · +6.0pp → 36¢
  • 08:00 · +3.5pp → 33¢
  • 06:00 · +3.5pp → 33¢
  • 05:00 · +3.5pp → 33¢
  • 03:00 · +3.5pp → 33¢
  • 02:00 · +3.0pp → 32¢
  • 00:00 · +3.0pp → 32¢
  • 22:00 · +3.0pp → 32¢
  • 21:00 · +3.0pp → 32¢
  • 20:00 · +3.0pp → 32¢
  • 19:00 · +3.0pp → 32¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventEurovision 2026: Jury Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 16, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
eurovision.tv
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket