Timely-Pantology
0x320677ed673dcf168d333d6991164521fb866914
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
1067 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
65 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$241.20Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.16Jul 17, 19:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$68.38Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.78Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.04Jul 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.77Jul 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$20.71Jul 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.94Jul 15, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69.45Jul 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$68.00Jul 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$60.36Jul 14, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.98Jul 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.79Jul 14, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $34.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.