Hospitable-Cabinet
0x3209413bfe04cf0dae3f4b0448044b266f9ce962
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$3.29
Total PnL
$-18.63
Realised
$59.56
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$2.27
$1.27
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
450 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 15?
153 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 6?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.10Mar 16, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.99Mar 16, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.05Feb 15, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.93Feb 15, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 15?$1.00Feb 15, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on February 15?$1.00Feb 15, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 15?$1.00Feb 15, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.86Feb 14, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.93Feb 14, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 13, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 13, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike another country first?$0.00Feb 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.