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EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Probability

24¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$954.54

Liquidity

$47.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 24¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5984.1h

    LOW
  • 15:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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