Weird-Plier
0x320b58cae979f122d4d2e889601d7505354f0579
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-728.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-2.5)
1308 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-85.02
- REAL MADRID CF
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?
596 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-95.32
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
513 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?
323 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-96.83
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?
306 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-97.96
- REAL MADRID CF
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
278 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
184 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-53.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$88.99Jul 14, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$104.02Jul 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?$97.78Apr 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?$54.48Apr 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?$100.00Apr 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$98.91Apr 4, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$146.13Mar 22, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$114.10Mar 22, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)$100.00Mar 22, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$100.00Mar 22, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$314.10Mar 22, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?$101.98Mar 22, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $118.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.