0x3217ef859214efbacbde638267d03fe97aa5999c
0x3217ef859214efbacbde638267d03fe97aa5999c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$127.32
Total PnL
$8.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
35 shares @ 84.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.65
$1.94
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.32
$8.47
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
24 shares @ 61.5¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$17.88
$3.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.40
$1.54
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.63
$1.34
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
13 shares @ 72.1¢·now 65.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$8.66
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.40
$-0.09
- YES
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
13 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.13
$-0.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.06
$-1.26
- YES
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
14 shares @ 42.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.18
$-5.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$9.62Jun 14, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?$5.46Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$8.75Jun 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$5.58Jun 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$5.83Jun 11, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$0.00Jun 10, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?$14.25Jun 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$3.54May 31, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$3.94May 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.32May 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?$8.12May 30, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$19.05May 20, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$33.76May 11, 15:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.