Incredible-Alloy
0x3234b8dfd9600bb8406f60404d4dedc0ab8cfec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-510.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
730 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-474.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on March 26?
165 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
85 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.47
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.40
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
70 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$479.48Jun 1, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$650.00May 25, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$303.92Apr 23, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Knicks$749.99Apr 23, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$245.00Apr 20, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$6.50Apr 20, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$11.00Apr 20, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on March 26?$0.99Mar 25, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$10.84Mar 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$1.53Mar 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$4.47Mar 2, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?$22.40Feb 26, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?$6.24Feb 7, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$11.03Feb 4, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$12.11Feb 4, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$13.00Feb 4, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$12.97Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?$7.00Jan 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$11.00Jan 14, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$13.03Jan 14, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $80.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".