Thorny-Vice
0x3254102ea88743c5c360d8c5eb24e188be16351f
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$678.28
Total PnL
$-881.56
Realised
$17.41
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
671 shares @ 32.1¢·now 31.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$213.31
$-1.88
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
511 shares @ 46.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$207.10
$-29.89
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
43 shares @ 74.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.31
$10.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 54.4¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
315 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.32
$-1.68
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
114 shares @ 26.3¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$21.12
$-8.88
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
101 shares @ 12.9¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.18
$4.18
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
94 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.02
$0.02
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
40 shares @ 57.8¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.31
$-9.99
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
70 shares @ 40.2¢·now 19.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.23
$-14.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?$5.17Jun 2, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?$5.17Jun 2, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?$5.17Jun 2, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.17Jun 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.27Jun 2, 18:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.36May 29, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$11.24May 29, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$5.14May 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$5.08May 29, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$5.06May 29, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$6.08May 29, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$5.14May 29, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$10.20May 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?$5.17May 29, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $9.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".