0x327a780f5ab4dda6ada65bac9218a64f6aefdb95
0x327a780f5ab4dda6ada65bac9218a64f6aefdb95
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.21
Total PnL
$-14.14
Realised
$-0.36
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
1 shares @ 82.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$1.02Jul 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.04Jul 2, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$1.30Jul 2, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$1.30Jul 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$1.02Jun 30, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$1.02Jun 30, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$1.12Jun 25, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.05Jun 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$1.01Jun 24, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$1.05Jun 24, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 23, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.56Jun 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.04Jun 17, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.22Jun 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.71Jun 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.05Jun 17, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.05Jun 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.17Jun 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.04Jun 17, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.79Jun 17, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.