Glum-Equipment
0x327e777233a555d51d4196f09d2bf1a9938aadb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$88.60
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-121.46
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.08
$-62.92
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
700 shares @ 14.3¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.20
$-67.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
445 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$19.31
$-20.69
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 16?
8774 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 1?
6027 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 11?
5127 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-268.26
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Player 566 win Beast Games: Season 2?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$100.00Jun 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$105.41May 8, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$98.80Apr 26, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$99.79Apr 26, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$48.00Apr 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$40.00Apr 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$10.00Apr 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$48.60Apr 7, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$50.00Apr 5, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 5, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 5, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?$0.00Apr 5, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.00Apr 5, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$0.00Apr 5, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 4?$0.00Apr 5, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Apr 5, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.00Apr 5, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$0.00Apr 5, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Player 91 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.00Apr 5, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Player 112 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.00Apr 5, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $51.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.