Distinct-Metabolite
0x3284948d99736d08067b3c9cb8ff9dbb03864722
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.51
Total PnL
$-303.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Iran coup attempt by December 31?
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$0.17
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
6706 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?
223 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
218 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- KHAMZAT CHIMAEV
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
207 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?
157 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.28Jul 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.65Jul 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.17Jul 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by December 31?$4.00Jul 8, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1.00Jul 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.20Jul 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 2, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 2, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$100.15May 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$50.67May 10, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?$24.51May 10, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$50.85May 10, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?$6.14May 10, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 10, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 28, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 28, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$4.00Apr 28, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?$1.66Apr 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?$1.88Apr 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?$1.70Apr 27, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.