Clumsy-Instruction
0x32b34b5f5a5cc4fc4ece4669117cb90822ce3830
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.47
Realised
$-12.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 255,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
72 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 260,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?
25 shares @ 79.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?
14 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 5, 2026?$7.93Jun 5, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 5, 2026?$0.66Jun 5, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 5, 2026?$10.17Jun 3, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 5, 2026?$10.15Jun 2, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 5, 2026?$10.15Jun 2, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$38.29Jun 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$35.05Jun 1, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$12.94Jun 1, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?$23.13Jun 1, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$10.90May 30, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$1.00May 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$13.87May 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?$21.50May 30, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 29, 2026?$0.20May 30, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$14.00May 29, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$3.70May 29, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$3.82May 29, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 06:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.