Kind-Trellis-Minority
0x32c33e94811907ef68321e9e97b1449030cf5284
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$30.71
Total PnL
$-34.46
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$5.00
$1.35
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.87
$0.62
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.84
$0.25
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$4.08
$0.07
- YES
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.60
$-0.20
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.33
$-0.13
- TEAM FALCONS
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- OVER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- RUNE EATERS
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$4.99Aug 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$3.72Aug 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner$4.23Aug 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$4.00Aug 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner$2.31Aug 13, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner$4.99Aug 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner$2.81Aug 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?$4.97Aug 12, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$4.98Aug 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$3.98Aug 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by December 31?$3.50Aug 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-10?$2.56Aug 10, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$0.00Aug 10, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$0.00Aug 10, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$5.00Aug 10, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$5.00Aug 10, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton$2.06Aug 9, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners$4.85Aug 9, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?$4.33Aug 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners$2.56Aug 9, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.