Big-Row
0x32ea188d516bdd870cdc6c022d67ef0e1b120d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
101 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
50 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
40 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- DOWN
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 16?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (WTI) (CL=F) Up or Down on October 27?
9 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-8.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$2.70Jan 19, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$2.18Jan 17, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 31?$4.10Jan 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$0.04Jan 16, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 16?$1.13Jan 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 16?$0.75Jan 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.30Jan 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00Jan 13, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.72Jan 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.07Jan 13, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.20Jan 12, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.33Jan 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.06Jan 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$7.50Jan 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.80Jan 10, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.00Jan 4, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$7.00Jan 4, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Jan 3, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?$0.40Nov 5, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYMEX Crude Oil Futures (WTI) (CL=F) Up or Down on October 27?$8.82Oct 27, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.