Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Probability
79¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.4pp
24h Vol
$2.9K
Liquidity
$17.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $17.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.1h
- 15:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 79¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 79¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 79¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 79¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 79¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 79¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 79¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 79¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 79¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 79¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 80¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 79¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 79¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 80¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 79¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.9pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.6pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.1pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.8pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.2pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.3pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 77¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 85¢+26.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.7M
- 88¢+30.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 1¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aziz Akhannouch ceases to be Prime Minister of Morocco for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aziz Akhannouch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aziz Akhannouch and the government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).