Gracious-Remark
0x32ebcee7c5e79cfe0d57cbad767a1cb02785a86e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$5.34
Total PnL
$-69.26
Realised
$29.84
Win rate
76%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$3.37
$0.37
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
2 shares @ 4.5¢·now 62.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.24
$1.15
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
37 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.78
- YES
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
3 shares @ 6.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.05
- NO
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
2 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.06
$0.03
- YES
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.01
- YES
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
1 shares @ 1.3¢·now 3.7¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$0.04
$0.03
- YES
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
1 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
4 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.03
$-0.11
- YES
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
2 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$0.09Jul 29, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$0.03Jul 29, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?$0.40Jul 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$0.84Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a token before 2027?$0.84Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?$0.03Jul 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?$0.42Jul 27, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?$0.22Jul 27, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.14Jul 27, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$0.09Jul 27, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.48Jul 27, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?$0.11Jul 27, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?$0.88Jul 27, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$1.17Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.05Jul 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?$1.04Jul 27, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$0.21Jul 27, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$0.06Jul 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$1.09Jul 27, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
51 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.