Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.9pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$53.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5995.2h
- 04:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5995h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 7¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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