Unwitting-Barley
0x32ee024004e49473f4e392e2855aaf3175d7be40
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$96.27
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-40.39
Win rate
4%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.70
$-2.10
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.90
$-0.30
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.80
$0.20
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.40
$-0.40
- YES
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.10
$-1.70
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.72
$0.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.30
$0.40
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
5020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
827 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$5.90Aug 10, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$9.00Aug 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$5.94Aug 9, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$4.55Aug 9, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$20.00Jul 31, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Jul 6, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jul 1, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$10.00Jul 1, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 29, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?$5.03Jun 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$5.22Jun 28, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.17Jun 28, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.42Jun 28, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.75Jun 28, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Jun 28, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.