Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Probability
85¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$10.00
Liquidity
$7.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 85¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $7.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 90¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14732.1h
Price movement
-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 85¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 00:00 (to 85¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 05:00 · -4.0pp → 85¢
- 03:00 · -4.0pp → 85¢
- 02:00 · -3.0pp → 86¢
- 00:00 · -5.0pp → 85¢
- 17:00 · -4.5pp → 86¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 87¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 87¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 87¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.