This-Hyphenation
0x32f156640ff9bd4e7c6b81eeee0730d23faec96e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$297.17
Total PnL
$-35.7K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
20%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
500 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$142.45
$12.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$102.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
104 shares @ 49.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$52.18
$0.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.05
$-1.95
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
11804 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-958.07
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
5624 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.24
- THUNDER
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
2520 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- OVER
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
2000 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-972.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
1700 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-775.98
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
1600 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-864.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$116.00Jun 19, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$114.00Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5$200.00Jun 19, 02:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.02Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.45Jun 19, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.39Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$5.75Jun 18, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$19.20Jun 18, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 173.5$101.50Jun 18, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$78.13Jun 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$110.00Jun 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.76Jun 18, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$0.69Jun 18, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.77Jun 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$6.50Jun 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$7.80Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$5.20Jun 18, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.56Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.56Jun 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$7.80Jun 18, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
61/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
35 closed markets, 20% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $27.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.