Scornful-Chopstick-Behavior
0x32fd6b56df721252cee6b212b90d767e2aed5c8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-619.47
Realised
$-36.47
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
946 shares @ 55.7¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$595.73
$68.59
- NO
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
695 shares @ 64.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$413.54
$-36.16
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
667 shares @ 56.1¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$360.02
$-14.29
- NO
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?
223 shares @ 67.1¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$180.30
$30.89
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
371 shares @ 49.3¢·now 48.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$178.67
$-4.12
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
209 shares @ 65.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$151.59
$14.14
- YES
Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
407 shares @ 42.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$107.75
$-65.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
103 shares @ 55.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$98.36
$41.71
- YES
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
206 shares @ 41.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$74.19
$-10.30
- YES
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
99 shares @ 47.6¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$59.12
$12.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$101.04Jul 7, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$79.59Jul 7, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$3.44Jul 7, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$5.08Jul 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$3.05Jul 7, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$306.39Jul 7, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?$46.30Jul 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?$34.17Jul 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?$5.91Jul 7, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?$105.56Jul 7, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$58.13Jul 7, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?$47.90Jul 7, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.86Jul 7, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$90.14Jul 7, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$43.82Jul 7, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$43.83Jul 7, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$43.82Jul 7, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$26.17Jul 7, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?$0.13Jul 6, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$0.39Jul 6, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.