Present-Decency
0x330fc1e09e2afaef969e66174a428463945bd4b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.7K
Realised
$-793.57
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
160000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
118000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
- YES
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?
23047 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
21677 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-55.04
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
21326 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-962.95
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
20799 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?
19220 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-719.42
- YES
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?
17620 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?
17569 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
14269 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?$513.75May 27, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Crystal Palace FC 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?$512.97May 27, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?$3.0KMay 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$588.30May 27, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$102.37May 27, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$99.90May 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$95.20May 27, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$105.48May 27, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$145.06May 27, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$101.38May 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.16May 27, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00May 20, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$60.68May 20, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$105.17May 20, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$86.91May 20, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Burnley FC?$4.12May 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 0 Burnley FC?$798.12May 18, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00May 18, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$802.70May 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$390.56May 18, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $477.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.