0x332e58a0fc384404e57aa867d45af14b5c28bfae
0x332e58a0fc384404e57aa867d45af14b5c28bfae
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-127.25
Realised
$-3.25
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
31 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
16 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$4.20Aug 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$2.07Aug 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$2.09Aug 18, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.09Aug 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$2.70Aug 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$2.06Aug 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$3.18Aug 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$2.07Aug 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.10Aug 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$6.59Aug 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.12Aug 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.15Aug 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.04Aug 18, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.15Aug 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.03Aug 18, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.00Aug 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.02Aug 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$7.06Aug 18, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.05Aug 18, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.05Aug 18, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.