Costly-Upper
0x333ff0f0ec61bde850f88c099fccf4ddcfa64da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
121
Open notional
$7.23
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- NO
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.23
$-0.00
- NO
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.06
$-0.00
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 91.8¢·now 85.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Celtics
4000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Hawks
714 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Knicks
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Cavaliers
577 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Sanchez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.45Jun 3, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.00Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.00May 29, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.00May 29, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.00May 24, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.00May 23, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Sanchez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.45May 22, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00May 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.23May 20, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$3.08May 5, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.41May 1, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.04May 1, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.06Apr 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.03Apr 30, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$11.12Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$11.10Apr 29, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.41Apr 28, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$1.36Apr 28, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".