0x3346bc9bb9978f4b2fa9859accd363d6d0ea01ea
0x3346bc9bb9978f4b2fa9859accd363d6d0ea01ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$74.59
Total PnL
$-1.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.27
$2.27
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 10.6¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.88
$1.38
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 8.9¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.53
$2.33
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$6.92
$-0.07
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 8.7¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.29
$-2.71
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 11.3¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.71
$-3.29
- NO
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.62
$0.03
- IRAQ
Spread: France (-2.5)
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.46
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5$1.51Jun 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$1.12Jun 22, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$1.11Jun 22, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$1.61Jun 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$3.62Jun 22, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$2.53Jun 22, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$2.01Jun 22, 07:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$11.80Jun 22, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$9.78Jun 21, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$7.09Jun 21, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$5.06Jun 21, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$3.06Jun 21, 12:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$0.00Jun 19, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$1.11Jun 18, 13:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.33Jun 17, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.