Queasy-Sensitivity
0x3371b25c8d0382c419c0617769059ea57901f17b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.19
Total PnL
$-31.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
16 shares @ 80.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.19
$-10.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
4903 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 560 and 579 times September 5–12?
4173 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?
673 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$13.00Nov 28, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.08Nov 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$536.61Nov 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$540.00Nov 16, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$547.63Nov 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$550.00Nov 16, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$10.00Oct 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$1.00Oct 8, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$1.00Sep 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 560 and 579 times September 5–12?$5.00Sep 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?$1.50Jul 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?$2.00Jul 12, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?$0.00Jul 12, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0.00Jul 12, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$2.00Jun 25, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?$3.50Jun 25, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $170 on November 1?$0.00Jun 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jun 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jun 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,600 on November 1?$0.00Jun 25, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $85.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.