Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$7.0K
Liquidity
$30.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6031.2h
- 21:49SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6031h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
13- 49¢+0.8pp
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $331.49
- 5¢-1.4pp
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 2¢+0.4pp
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $82.60
- 10¢+1.0pp
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 69¢-1.0pp
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $480.32
- 72¢+4.2pp
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $91.84
- 63¢+1.0pp
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $30.00
- 60¢+7.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $3.0M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Other · Vol $2.9M
- 76¢+3.0pp
Celtics vs. 76ers
Other · Vol $2.8M
- 100¢0.0pp
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Other · Vol $2.7M
- 2¢-0.7pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 26¢+3.0pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Other · Vol $1.9M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Melodic-Eclipse26.4K
- Outlandish-Term21.4K
- Puny-Spud8.8K
- Dapper-Bicycle7.8K
- Fat-Brisket6.0K
- Mediocre-Practitioner14.0K
- Pristine-Business7.9K
- Shameless-Gripper7.5K
- Nice-Clasp6.5K
- Whole-Devil6.2K