Starchy-Mama
0x337851cbd0b11a0539c9c6f145ad62c58a71b63b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-513.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
1092 shares @ 91.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$30.18
- NO
Is Earth flat?
113 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$110.97
$0.97
- NO
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.39
$0.39
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
17 shares @ 70.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.75
$-5.25
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.29
$1.29
- NO
Tom Lee charged by December 31?
2 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 39.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$0.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?$1.12Jul 12, 22:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$1.02Jul 9, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$1.03Jul 9, 16:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$1.07Jul 8, 06:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 7, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.