Rude-Card
0x33ba0bc815f1a63bba046b2d0763a72973335b15
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$75.32
Total PnL
$94.84
Realised
$142.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?
212 shares @ 33.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$75.32
$3.46
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?
300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
113 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- NO
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be in Spain's Starting 11?
21 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump's tie be red?$73.76Aug 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$11.42Jul 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$0.30Jul 30, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$6.28Jul 30, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?$13.33Jul 27, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?$11.40Jul 27, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$0.00Jul 20, 13:54 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Jul 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$149.69Jul 7, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$27.66Jul 7, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$40.00Jul 4, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$199.99Jun 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$15.95Jun 19, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$1.95Jun 19, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$2.60Jun 19, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Captain" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?$5.50Jun 19, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?$125.41Jun 15, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tsuyoshi Watanabe be in Japan's Starting 11?$21.00Jun 14, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crysencio Summerville be in Netherlands's Starting 11?$21.00Jun 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcos Llorente be in Spain's Starting 11?$11.66Jun 14, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $15.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.