Pleasant-Bracket
0x33c50d6e817ff89b7cc1dc76903f76dcf42e612f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$13.96
Total PnL
$-55.58
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?
13 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$12.98
$-0.02
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 28?
2063 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 7?
1127 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
1123 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?
1106 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 9?
1103 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?
1098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 31?
1098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?
1088 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?$13.00Aug 18, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?$14.04Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?$14.00Aug 6, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$2.16Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.28Jul 31, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?$13.65Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?$13.60Jul 29, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?$13.04Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?$13.00Jul 21, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$6.31Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$6.30Jul 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$2.14Jul 8, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.28Jul 3, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.39Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 28?$4.13Jun 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13?$2.11Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?$2.15Jun 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.36Jun 2, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.24May 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?$2.11May 27, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $325.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.