Far-Flung-Wardrobe
0x34026514e0bda25f0f9fbb053fe3070cdc8c9446
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$42.1K
Total PnL
$7.8K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60370 shares @ 15.1¢·now 19.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.8K
$2.7K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60588 shares @ 8.3¢·now 15.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.2K
$4.1K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60392 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.2K
$-1.9K
- NO
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
9958 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.5K
$398.33
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60532 shares @ 10.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.1K
$-1.3K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
15000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$396.00
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
11315 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$582.72
$44.77
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
720 shares @ 27.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$514.85
$320.10
- NO
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
295 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$104.88
$4.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$100.45Jun 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$5.1KJun 26, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$6.5KJun 26, 04:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.88Jun 26, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.0KJun 26, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$0.46Jun 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.58Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$3.01Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.58Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$6.11Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.58Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$0.96Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.58Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$5.76Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$6.11Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.61Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$6.11Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.61Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$85.44Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$0.32Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $140.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.