0x343f6ddd86986692ccb1fe00230e13cf80f8bb4d
0x343f6ddd86986692ccb1fe00230e13cf80f8bb4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$156.36
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$-773.12
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
67 shares @ 89.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.54
$4.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$30.00
- NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.46
$1.48
- NO
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
16 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$15.36
$0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 3?
8165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-244.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 2?
6434 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-240.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on March 29?
4355 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-138.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 7?
4113 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-313.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 30?
3613 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-197.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on April 19?
3489 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-139.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.