High-Level-Lyrics
0x34485b44141fece0288783a8a15e42426240eadc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$76.26
Total PnL
$-29.70
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
57 shares @ 83.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
29 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 31?
23 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.00
$-5.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$48.00Jul 3, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$5.96Jul 3, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$29.00Jul 3, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$35.46Jul 3, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$94.38Jul 3, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$94.00May 30, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$35.00May 30, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$25.24May 30, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$16.77May 30, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$22.47May 30, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$28.40May 30, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$36.81May 30, 13:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $31.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.