Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Probability
87¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$8.3K
Liquidity
$8.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+12.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 118.4h
- 01:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 118h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:35PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 87¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 86¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 86¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 86¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 85¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 85¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 73¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 77¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 77¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 76¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 78¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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