Tart-Artery
0x3454dd790c47cfc27228cf4b1875e39dcbc2e9ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$15.52
Total PnL
$-252.68
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 21.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.88
$-1.12
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.86
$0.86
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 25.3¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$3.10Jul 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.07Jul 20, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$2.07Jul 20, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$1.77Jul 20, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.67Jul 20, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$3.45Jul 20, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$0.00Jul 4, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.06Jul 3, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jul 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$4.00Jul 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$2.03Jul 3, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$1.01Jul 3, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.02Jul 3, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1.02Jul 3, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$2.56Jul 3, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.00Jul 3, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.88Jul 3, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.08May 15, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.