Tart-Artery
0x3454dd790c47cfc27228cf4b1875e39dcbc2e9ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
92
Open notional
$31.16
Total PnL
$-231.05
Realised
$-0.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.88
$3.88
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.00
$2.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.36
$2.36
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 12.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.60
$0.60
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.08May 15, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.13May 15, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.71May 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.11May 15, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$2.96May 15, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.29May 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.28May 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.07May 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$4.22May 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.27May 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$2.49May 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.04May 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.07May 13, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$13.33May 13, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.