Cute-Ozone
0x3458152bac216f4743fb3afb9012318a4ad32356
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$7.92
Total PnL
$-611.90
Realised
$-9.22
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.92
$2.92
- NO
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?
405 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-309.35
- YES
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.75
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
136 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?
135 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?
127 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
118 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-51.92
- YES
Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
88 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?$2.08Jul 17, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?$1.65Jul 17, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$22.32Jul 7, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$95.86Jul 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$4.49Jul 7, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$124.19Jul 7, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$134.48Jul 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$9.76Jul 6, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$5.13Jul 6, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$3.94Jul 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$26.05Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$12.99Jul 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$56.65Jul 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$11.55Jul 4, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$15.48Jul 4, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$91.08Jul 4, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$79.63Jul 3, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$79.62Jul 3, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$78.77Jul 2, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.57Jul 2, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $35.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.