0x346693cf1be00e748740e20b624e05e0a6806db5
0x346693cf1be00e748740e20b624e05e0a6806db5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$4.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
2804 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
200 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONClacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %$40.00Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$7.67Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$7.67Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$5.50Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$9.70Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$9.62Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Decision in July?$200.00Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$49.95Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$49.81Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$13.07Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$49.95Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$37.63Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 44°C or higher on July 29?$9.98Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on July 29?$9.97Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 29?$9.98Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29?$8.85Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?$3.58Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 29?$7.30Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29?$9.58Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 29?$9.98Jul 28, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.