Offbeat-Advantage
0x347b71a6109f8a36faaf761838afbeef5e068b8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$154.00
Total PnL
$-11.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
67 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.17
$1.78
- NO
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
51 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$50.54
$-0.26
- NO
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?
52 shares @ 97.2¢·now 71.7¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$37.28
$-13.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$48.45Jul 3, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$1.00Jun 30, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$1.00Jun 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?$62.40Jun 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by June 30?$50.08Jun 20, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?$50.60Jun 7, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$27.42Jun 2, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$21.75Jun 2, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by June 30?$20.64May 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by June 30?$29.39May 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lighter reach $10 before 2027?$48.40May 28, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$23.01May 26, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$1.00May 26, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$25.05May 25, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$49.32May 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$49.01May 23, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$50.80May 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$48.45May 22, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$49.62May 20, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$51.68May 18, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $37.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.