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OtherExpires Dec 31, 2026

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Probability

11¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$18.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5991.9h

    LOW
  • 08:03Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5992h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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