Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$18.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5991.9h
- 08:03SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5992h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 2¢-1.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.3M
- 100¢+36.4pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $526.3K
- 1¢-1.6pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $439.4K
- 89¢+6.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $425.2K
- 48¢+3.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $401.6K
- 57¢0.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $348.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0x7c87…9bd41.6K
- Yawning-Premeditation1.4K
- Disguised-Spider1.4K
- Raw-Cross793
- Violet-Handball624