Advanced-Piety
0x3485b7329a58fddd85dbc77f353e04a5db65396b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.74
Total PnL
$-33.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.74
$-2.26
- YES
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by Friday?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$1.00Jan 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$1.00Jan 18, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$1.00Jan 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$1.00Jan 6, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$1.00Jan 6, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $1.00Jan 6, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Jan 6, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Nov 7, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.00Oct 28, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 22, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$1.69Oct 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$4.33Oct 22, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 20, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Gaza by October 17?$1.00Oct 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Oct 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$1.00Oct 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$1.00Oct 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Oct 11, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$0.00Oct 1, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.89Oct 1, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.