Male-Nothing
0x348994c330b383f3ea4c02da7909398d8f0f7fff
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$26.18
Total PnL
$-554.96
Realised
$22.18
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Jeff Weninger win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.97
$11.97
- NO
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$4.29
$1.35
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.2¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.54
- NO
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
35 shares @ 11.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.58
$-3.44
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$0.12
$-6.28
- YES
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.01
$-3.19
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
300 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-165.50
- YES
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
240 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-194.00
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
150 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
150 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.30
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.57Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.61Aug 5, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?$7.68Jul 29, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$120.39Jul 18, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$19.83Jul 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$3.00Jul 18, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$1.00Jul 18, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$17.77Jul 18, 14:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.51Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$4.74Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$7.40Jul 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?$4.64Jul 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$56.00Jul 12, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$57.00Jul 12, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?$2.94Jul 12, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$7.20Jul 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$16.28Jul 8, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$24.98Jul 8, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$4.00Jul 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$114.74Jul 8, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $26.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.