0x349c675414791f3dfe6a60734bf1a30f51f6f6f1
0x349c675414791f3dfe6a60734bf1a30f51f6f6f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$61.72
Total PnL
$-9.20
Realised
$-2.08
Win rate
95%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$5.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.10
$-0.05
- NO
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on April 6?
4 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$3.74
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 6?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$3.25
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 7?
3 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$2.96
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 6?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$2.35
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 7?
2 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$2.26
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 7?
2 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$2.17
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on April 7?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$2.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMExact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 3 FC Bayern München?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 6?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 6?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 6?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 6?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 6?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,250 on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 7?$0.00May 6, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.