Composed-Proponent
0x34a0e23aeb4d225eaaeda2f42d5f0f7960e29bf7
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$187.43
Total PnL
$-22.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
186 shares @ 2.7¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.31
$4.31
- NO
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$5.34
$0.34
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 70.9¢·now 73.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.005h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$2.125h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.166h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.176h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.176h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.176h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$2.926h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.326h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.336h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.316h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.316h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.226h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.196h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$5.176h ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?$5.026h ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?$5.046h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.196h ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$5.046h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$5.116h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".